Every year i post an outlook using entropic methods explained in the technical section of this blog. Here you can find the 2015 , 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020 and 2021 forecast update, where you can find more information about this approach. Updated values for bitcoin (in brackets values of last year) using daily data since August 2010 (average data of 4 main exchanges when possible) . BTC/USD Growth Factor G 1.00130 (1.00104) Shannon Probability P (see this as entropy ) 0.5254 (0.5232) Root mean square RMS (see this as volatility) 0.049 (0.055) Bitcoin’s entropic values versus the Usd improved during 2021, the Growth Factor (G) grow to 1.00130% compounded daily or 160% yearly, higher then 1y ago. The optimal fraction of your total wealth to invest in bitcoin rised to 5.1% (~0.5254*2=1.051 – 1 = 0.051 or 5.1% roundable to 5%). Volatility continues to drop year after year and that’s normal as bitcoin gets bigger and bigger so less prone to volatility. The BTCUSD growth fac...